Isn’t funny how the Doomy Goal Posts Of Doom are constantly moved? Now we have the World Economic Forum, a hotbed of Warmists and extreme Socialists who love to redistribute Other People’s money making a prognostication
The Arctic is now expected to be ice-free by 2040
The last piece of summer sea-ice in the Arctic is expected to melt away in just 23 years, three decades earlier than previously expected.
Scientists now believe that the summer of 2040 will see the end of the frozen north pole after a rapid shrinking of the ice coverage in recent years, according to a report from the Arctic Council.
Seriously, they just can’t help themselves with their prognostications. And, let’s see, from Watts Up With That?
- 101. June 2008, Ted Alvarez, Backpacker Magazine Blogs: “you could potentially sail, kayak, or even swim to the North Pole by the end of the summer. Climate scientists say that the Arctic ice…is currently on track to melt sometime in 2008.â€
- 106. June 8, 1972, Christian Science Monitor: “Arctic specialist Bernt Balchen says a general warming trend over the North Pole is melting the polar ice cap and may produce an ice-free Arctic Ocean by the year 2000.â€
- 6. “In summer under certain conditions the scientists reckon with a complete melting of the Arctic sea ice. For Europe we expect an increase in drier and warmer summers. Winters on the other hand will be warmer and wetter.†Erich Roeckner, Max Planck Institute, Hamburg, 29 Sept 2005.
And then you had the prediction that 2016 would be ice free. And next year or the year after (2017 or 2018). And so many more, including Gore’s prediction which failed. So, of course, now, after they’ve all been spectacularly wrong, they’re pushing their crystal ball reading out further.
As long as doom is always some time in the future, there’s money to be made on it in the present.
That is good news.
I will be long dead by then.
Not that I give a damn now anyway.
[…] But, of course folks like William teach should not point out the many lies of the Cult of Climate Ch… […]
That’s funny. A scientific citation to a backpacker blog. Heh.
Z,
Not to good at reading are you. It is not a scientific reference, it is a stupid liberal observation or thought (wait do liberal think?, likely not). For that matter nothing that your little girl bunch or what Jeff has said has ever been linked to a scientific journal. Z, the previous bunch were smarter, you obviously inherited whatever it is that you people do, you need to grow some smarts.
Don’t know about others, but we frequently reference the primary literature.
Estimates for nearly sea ice-free Arctic summers have generally been in the range of 2070 and beyond. However, there is significant uncertainly due to the criticality related to positive feedback mechanisms. See, for instance, Holland et al., Future abrupt reductions in the summer Arctic sea ice, Geophysical Research Letters 2006; or Overland & Wang, When will the summer Arctic be nearly sea ice free?, Geophysical Research Letters 2013.
In other words, kiddies, no one really knows.
Virtually all scientists agree that nearly sea ice-free Arctic summers will occur some time this century. Because there is something of an avalanche-effect, it’s difficult to determine exactly when that will occur.
Z,
Pathetic, as usual. So the weather in the artic has changed, or the geothermal area is more active. Big deal. The fact is that you try to link all this to CO2 which is stupid by any parameter, then you try to say the CO2 is solely produced by humans, then you say that in order to “save the world” must have taxes and global government. WRONG. End of discussion, you are not worth the time.
Greenhouse warming is based on fundamental physics, and is supported by study of Earth’s past history of climate change.
dave,
Please check: http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
Figure 3a shows the loss of arctic sea ice with time, measured near the peak each April.