Well, that is what we keep hearing and reading. Supposedly, they all say that the Earth is going to die from global warming, er, climate change. But do they?
Global warming may not be as dramatic as some scientists have predicted.
Using temperature readings from the past 100 years, 1,000 computer simulations and the evidence left in ancient tree rings, Duke University scientists announced yesterday that “the magnitude of future global warming will likely fall well short of current highest predictions.”
Supported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the Department of Energy and the National Science Foundation, the Duke researchers noted that some observational studies predicted that the Earth’s temperature could rise as much as 16 degrees in this century because of an increase in carbon dioxide or other so-called greenhouse gases.
The Duke estimates show the chances that the planet’s temperature will rise even by 11 degrees is only 5 percent, which falls in line with previous, less-alarming predictions that meteorologists made almost three decades ago.
Now, I will be the first to say that I am very cautious when computer models are involved. They do not do such a hot job at predicting the weather with incredible accuracy. However, this study incorporates actual data.
Ms. Hegerl and her four-member team based their conclusions on thermometer readings over the past century, along with “ancient climate records,” including tree-ring studies and ice-core samples that revealed hot and cold spells and airborne particulates over a 700-year period. In addition, they created 1,000 computer-based weather simulations for the past 1,000 years.
So, they looked at data that includes both the Little Ice Age and the Global Climate Optimum. More then the Global Warming Hysterics have.
There is no doubt that the temperatures have gone up in certain areas over the past century. What the GWH’s do not tell you is that “of course the temps have gone up. The Little Ice Age, a period of much cooler temps, ended around 1850. If we showed data since that time period, or even mentioned it, we would stop getting donations and people paying attention to us.”
Let’s face it. No one really knows what is going to happen. The Global Warming is Coming hysterics spin their pontifications to scare people, sans real facts, just feelings. I’m sure most people would like clean air, clean water, clean land. I do. But that does not seem to be their intention. They want to “save the planet from extinction.” Yet they are bereft of true data, and they are wonky (see Al Gore.) Like so many environment attempts, their extremist rhetoric and actions harm their cause. So does the Sun, which has been getting stronger over the past 60+ years.
