One of the big talking points from Warmists, including the IPCC, was that “climate change” would cause more tropical storms, especially landfalling ones, and that they would also be stronger. So far, none of that has come to fruition, especially in the Northern Atlantic. Especially since much of the notion of more storms comes simply from better ways to see them. Prior to the satellite era, and, really, only in the last 20-30 years, the way people knew a tropical storm had formed was because it was approaching/hitting land, or a ship saw it out at sea. A notion mentioned in this study
(Red Orbit) A new study from South African researchers has debunked the notion that there are more tropical cyclones taking place due to global warming – at least in the Southern Indian Ocean.
Jennifer Fitchett, a PhD student at Witwatersrand University in Johannesburg, said better meteorology has probably fueled the idea of climate change developing more and more storms.
“From 1940, there was a huge increase in observations because of aerial reconnaissance and satellite imagery,†she said.
According to the report, co-authored by Fitchett and published in the International Journal of Climatology, tropical storms hitting the southeastern coast of Africa may not be increasing in number – but they are shifting south due to increasingly warmer temperatures on the surface of the sea.
For the study, the researchers used data from three storm track records that spanned periods between 66 and 161 years and discovered that there has been no rise in the amount of tropical cyclones. However, when the study team looked at where storms have been taking place, they found that the 80-degree surface temperatures needed for a cyclone to occur have been moving southward toward the pole. This phenomenon has coincided with storms shifting farther to the south.
OK, so no increase in tropical storms. As far as the shifting goes, it’s been happening at the rate of .6 degrees per decade since 1850, per the study. Which, as Ms. Fitchett stated, neither was expected. Of course, the shifting cannot be proven to be due to man-induced “climate change”, simply something that would happen during a typical Holocene warm period. Another nail in the coffin of AGW/”climate change”.
