Doom? Here’s Duncan Clark at the UK Guardian, a paper never known for reasonable discourse when it comes to “climate change”
World will warm faster than predicted in next five years, study warns
New estimate based on the forthcoming upturn in solar activity and El Niño southern oscillation cycles is expected to silence global warming scepticsThe world faces record-breaking temperatures as the sun’s activity increases, leading the planet to heat up significantly faster than scientists had predicted for the next five years, according to a study.
The hottest year on record was 1998, and the relatively cool years since have led to some global warming sceptics claiming that temperatures have levelled off or started to decline. But new research firmly rejects that argument.
The research, to be published in Geophysical Research Letters, was carried out by Judith Lean, of the US Naval Research Laboratory, and David Rind, of Nasa’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies.
The work is the first to assess the combined impact on global temperature of four factors: human influences such as CO2 and aerosol emissions; heating from the sun; volcanic activity and the El Niño southern oscillation, the phenomenon by which the Pacific Ocean flips between warmer and cooler states every few years.
Interesting. They blame quite a bit on natural processes, and even claim that the world will quickly warm thanks mostly to natural factors. They claim that “temperatures will shoot up at 150% of the rate predicted by the IPCC”.
There’s a little problem with all this: the article itself is from July 27, 2009. And since that time, the global temperatures have essentially flatlined, if not reduced. By all measures, land, sea surface, overall, upper atmosphere, tropics, etc, we did not see any massive skyrocketing of temperatures. After a brief uptick in 2010 of .3C, temps dropped per HADCRUT
We see the same with GIS, RSS, and all other measures. This is “climate change” prognostication” in a nutshell: lots of dire predictions based on computer models and wishful thinking. This doesn’t blow out the notion that the Earth is currently in a warm period: it just shows that the hyperventilating and insanity over anthropogenic global warming/climate change is absurd.
Via Climate Depot.
[…] Via William Teach who brings us news of global warming, cooling, warming faster than we thought, so we better make Al Gore richer faster or ELSE! […]
I don’t know what it is like in your neck of the woods, but here in Louisiana, it has turned into Fall. The leaves are changing and falling. Grass is beginning to take on its Fall character and the daily temp is consistently lower than that predicted by the weather people. I have asked a number of 90+ year olds and they have never seen a summer such as we had, it is cold and wet.
Near record highs and spring-like thunderstorms here in the Midwest. Tornado warnings tonight! We also had a unnaturally wet summer. A cold summer in Louisiana does not falsify the theory of AGW any more than a warm summer in Missouri proves it. Anyone making that argument is scientifically naïve.
The highs today were in the 90s in Louisiana. The forecast for the next week are for highs in the 90s, which is average for this time of year. The lows are forecast to be higher than average.
And the ice continues to melt and the seas to rise.
Take a pill Jeffrey.
Here in PA we’ve had a fairly cool summer, without one heat wave- which is rare. Local weather guys calculate heat waves of three or more days in a row of above 90. Never happened, when typically we get a couple of them. We had one in the Spring though, even though it was a brief three day event…
It’s weather.
And the ice caps are growing not melting. Seas rising? Perceptively? Phew. Not sure your meds are sufficient.