Pirate's Cove

Must have been some serious work to go through every death that occurred between 1991 and 2018 (remember, there was also a big Pause between, charitably, 1998-2015)

Study blames climate change for 37 percent of heat deaths worldwide

More than one-third of the world’s heat deaths each year are due directly to global warming, according to the latest study to calculate the human cost of climate change.

But scientists say that’s only a sliver of climate’s overall toll — even more people die from other extreme weather amplified by global warming such as storms, flooding and drought — and the heat death numbers will grow exponentially with rising temperatures.

Dozens of researchers who looked at heat deaths in 732 cities around the globe from 1991 to 2018 calculated that 37 percent were caused by higher temperatures from human-caused warming, according to a study Monday in the journal Nature Climate Change.

That amounts to about 9,700 people a year from just those cities, but it is much more worldwide, the study’s lead author said.

Can they prove it is due to anthropogenic climate change, meaning a temperature rise from greenhouse gases? I’d certainly agree that land use and UHI can artificially increase localized temperatures in urban areas causing more stress on humans, but, come on, directly blaming a small rise in temperatures since 1850 for 37% of heat deaths? It’s a cult. But, here we go

Scientists used decades of mortality data in the 732 cities to plot curves detailing how each city’s death rate changes with temperature and how the heat-death curves vary from city to city. Some cities adapt to heat better than others because of air conditioning, cultural factors and environmental conditions, Vicedo-Cabrera said.

Then researchers took observed temperatures and compared them with 10 computer models simulating a world without climate change. The difference is warming humans caused. By applying that scientifically accepted technique to the individualized heat-death curves for the 732 cities, the scientists calculated extra heat deaths from climate change.

“People continue to ask for proof that climate change is already affecting our health. This attribution study directly answers that question using state-of-the-science epidemiological methods, and the amount of data the authors have amassed for analysis is impressive,” said Dr. Jonathan Patz, director of the Global Health Institute at the University of Wisconsin.

We’re still waiting for proof that it is due to carbon pollution. Correlation is not causation. All this presupposes, using junk computer models, is that a slight temperature increase, which doesn’t prove causation, leads to more deaths. What if we didn’t have fossil fuels and such? Would the climate be the same? Multiple Holocene warm periods were warmer. Now do the deaths from cold weather.