Pirate's Cove

The models are wrong? Who knew? Of course, that doesn’t mean the climate cult will rethink what’s happening, oh, no

The Arctic Ocean began warming decades earlier than previously thought, new research shows

The Arctic Ocean has been warming since the onset of the 20th century, decades earlier than instrument observations would suggest, according to new research.

The study, published Wednesday in the journal Science Advances, found that the expansion of warm Atlantic Ocean water flowing into the Arctic, a phenomenon known as “Atlantification,” has caused Arctic water temperature in the region studied to increase by around 2 degrees Celsius since 1900.

Francesco Muschitiello, an author on the study and assistant professor of geography at the University of Cambridge, said the findings were worrisome because the early warming suggests there might be a flaw in the models scientists use to predict how the climate will change.

“The Arctic Ocean has been warming up for much longer than we previously thought,” Muschitiello told CNN. “And this is something that’s a bit unsettling for many reasons, especially because the climate models that we use to cast projections of future climate change do not really simulate these type of changes.”

Ya think?

Researchers found temperature and salinity, the saltiness of ocean water (where the Atlantic meets the Arctic), remained fairly constant up until the 20th century — then they suddenly increased.

“The reconstructions suggest a substantial increase in the Atlantic Ocean heat and salt transport into the Nordic Sea at the beginning of the 20th century, which is not well simulated by (climate models),” Rong Zhang, a senior scientist at NOAA’s Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, who was not involved with the study, told CNN. “It’s important to understand the cause of this rapid Atlantification, as well as the discrepancies between the model simulations and the reconstructions.”

The problem with this whole thing is that they are, in fact, relying on simulations, reconstructions, and data from things like undersea sediment, rather than actual observations. Anyhow, if you think about it, what was causing this increase, if real? Certainly wasn’t the proliferation of fossil fueled vehicles, ships, and planes. Sure, they used coal in ships for a brief time, around 1871 to 1914, but, that’s not enough to kick out enough CO2 to warm the planet (if we’re to believe the fearmongering from the cult). You didn’t have the massive agriculture. You didn’t have most of the things Warmists complain about. This stuff really wasn’t around. So, of course, they blame the Industrial Revolution, from the late 1760’s to around the 1840’s. Nah. As they say in the movie Lethal Weapon, it’s thin, very thin.

No worries, though!

Muschitiello said it’s not clear how much of a role, if any, human-caused climate change played in the early Arctic warming, and more research is needed.

“We’re talking about the early 1900s, and by then we’ve already been supercharging the atmosphere with carbon dioxide,” he said. “It is possible that the Arctic Ocean is more sensitive to greenhouse gases than previously thought. This will require more research, of course, because we don’t have a solid grip on the actual mechanisms behind this early Atlantification.”

Sure seems like he went to human attribution, eh?

“When I talk to my students I always try to make them aware that the Arctic is warming very, very quickly, and much faster than any other area on the planet,” Muschitiello said. “It’s very unsettling and very troubling, especially because we still don’t have a full understanding of feedbacks at play.”

But, the climate cult has no problem Blaming mankind.