So strange that doom over breaking the 1.5C threshold keeps being pushed out
- 10/12/2018: The world has just over a decade to get climate change under control, U.N. scientists say
- 10/8/2018: We have 12 years to limit climate change catastrophe, warns UN
- 1/22/2019: ‘The world is going to end in 12 years if we don’t address climate change,’ Ocasio-Cortez says
- 11/4/2021: Earth has 11 years to cut emissions to avoid dire climate scenarios, a report says
- 12/23/2020: WE’LL CROSS THE GLOBAL WARMING THRESHOLD IN 6-21 YEARS
Plenty more out there (and smacked down here), but, now, instead of computer models, we have AI models
AI: World likely to hit key warming threshold in 10-12 years
The world will likely breach the internationally agreed-upon climate change threshold in about a decade, and keep heating to break through a next warming limit around mid-century even with big pollution cuts, artificial intelligence predicts in a new study that’s more pessimistic than previous modeling.
The study in Monday’s journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences reignites a debate on whether it’s still possible to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, as called for in the 2015 Paris climate agreement, to minimize the most damaging effects of climate change. The world has already warmed 1.1 or 1.2 degrees since pre-industrial times, or the mid-19th century, scientists say.
Two climate scientists using machine learning calculated that Earth will surpass the 1.5 degree (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) mark between 2033 and 2035. Their results fit with other, more conventional methods of predicting when Earth will break the mark, though with a bit more precision.
“There will come a time when we call the 1.5C target for maximum warming dead, beyond the shadow of a doubt,” Brown University environment institute director Kim Cobb, who wasn’t part of the study, said in an email interview. “And this paper may be the beginning of the end of the 1.5C target.”
So, what happens if this doesn’t happen? Who is punished for grossly irresponsible fearmongering? These climahysterics just can’t help themselves with their prognostications of doom
