This has made the climate cultists at the NY Times very upset
Coming Soon: More Oil, Gas and Coal
It’s no secret that fossil fuels are still going strong, as we discussed last month. But a new United Nations-backed report paints an alarming picture of how dramatically coal, oil and gas production is expected to grow in the coming years.
If current projections hold, the United States will drill for more oil and gas in 2030 than at any point in its history, our colleague Hiroko Tabuchi reports. So will Russia and Saudi Arabia.
In fact, almost all of the top 20 fossil fuel-producing countries plan to produce more oil, gas and coal in 2030 than they do today. If those projections hold, the world would overshoot the amount of fossil fuels consistent with limiting warming to 2 degrees Celsius — the level scientists say would result in vastly more life-threatening heat waves, drought and coastal flooding.
So, what happens if all that production happens and the Earth doesn’t “overshoot” the magical 2C limit? Who loses their job over the failed prognostication? Oh, who am I kidding, the cultists will simply find a way to deflect say it didn’t happen do to something or other?
Saudi Arabia, as Hiroko reported last year, has an “aggressive long-term strategy to keep the world hooked on oil for decades to come and remain the biggest supplier as rivals slip away.” The country plans to increase production by up to 47 percent by 2050.
Let’s face it, most people want fossil fuels, which are inexpensive, reliable, and dependable, as well as easily obtained. Even the average Warmist is unwilling to give up their own use of fossil fuels. When does the NY Times forgo the supplied power and put solar panels on the roof? Since almost 50% of the energy in the state comes from natural gas.
“COP28 must send a clear signal that the fossil fuel age is out of gas — that its end is inevitable,” Gutteres said. “We need credible commitments to ramp up renewables, phase out fossil fuels, and boost energy efficiency, while ensuring a just, equitable transition.”
Why? Because you and the other Elites say so? You folks aren’t even giving up your own massive use of fossil fuels. Did the UN restrict the use of private jets to COP28?
Hey, if private companies want to keep drilling or mining for coal, oil and natural gas, it’s all for the good if it gets used, and if it doesn’t get used, then it’s on those companies, right?
Didn’t COP25 and COP 26 and COP 27 send that same ‘clear signal’? Didn’t Our Betters already affirm that ‘We need credible commitments to ramp up renewables, phase out fossil fuels, and boost energy efficiency, while ensuring a just, equitable transition’?
Are any of the G7 governments opposed to trying to end
global warmingclimate change? Do any of the democracies oppose that? Nope, none of them do, but economic realities don’t care about politics, and the simple fact is that the plans of the warmunists cannot be put into actual practice without making people poorer, many of them a lot poorer.Poorer, and cold, and hungry.
Good News !!
Gasoline consumption in the USA is forecast to fall to a 20 year low even as population grows 20%
Even the average American climate change denier is now using less gasoline.
In the USA coal consumption has decreased by 50% since 2006. The remaining coal powered electric plants are inefficient costly antiques that will be not be replaced by new coal burners. Coal use will increase in the less developed countries, before being phased out there also.
NY does get 50% of its electricity from fossil fuel natural gas, BUT that is expected to drop to 30% by 2030 and zero by 2040.
In NY
Duke energy (whom Teach buys his electricity from) will be reducing its carbon footprint by 50% by 2030.
The New York Times fors own own the building where it is headquartered. It is owned by the New York City Development Corporation which leases part of that building to the NYT. The NYCDC has tripled it’s solar power output in the last 3 years and does have plans to put solar on its other buildings.
H
“NY does get 50% of its electricity from fossil fuel natural gas, BUT that is expected to drop to 30% by 2030 and zero by 2040.In NY”
And where will NY get’s in electric power when the winds don’t blow and the sun doesn’t shine?
hmmm good question. If only there was some way to store that electrical power. Like in some sort of electrical storage container. like a battery??? yeah that is what would work A BATTERY!!I am thinking that if the Sun stops shining completely we are all gonna die anyway. Well since NY isnt going to be completely green electricity until 2050 neither you nor I will be around to worry about that.
Mr Lewis do you really think that technology is not going to be able to overcome that? Are you planning on being here in 2050? You also forgot to mention hydro power. Now if the wind stops and the Sun goes out AND gravity stops I would agree with you natural gas might be our best bet.
jl IF there were no wind or solar of hydro then in 2050 they would have to fire up those antique expensive fossil burners. But of course I wouldn’t expect many new ones to be built. Natural gas prices are pegged to oil prices. What do you think we will be the cost of oil will be in the year 2050? Renewable prices go down, fossil fuel prices trend up. Even though oil production under Biden exceeds that of under Trump. Even though we were told that “China Joe” was was waging war on domestic production
Isn’t this the same “message” repeated for the 28th time?
So Brandon is the fossil fuel king! LOL. US Oil production at all-time high, but curiously, US oil consumption continues to drop as do US CO2 emissions! And other than during Adolf Drumpf’s Viertes Reich the US GDP has been increasing! Yay, Brandon.
The SciDs (Science Deniers), being dystopian Ameri-Cons, believe in a collection of lies and conspiracy tales, and are controlled by a former TV game show host. They are motivated by shapes, forms and phantasms that exist only in their imaginations…
SciDs fear and fight the awesome, absolute power of the NWO UN, ignoring the fact that the UN has no power. SciDs are ‘fighting’ non-existent authoritarians so they can realize their own authoritarian vision.
I copied this for Elwood and H:
“One crisp winter morning in Sweden, a cute little girl named Greta woke up to a perfect world, one where there were no petroleum products ruining the earth. She tossed aside her cotton sheet and wool blanket and stepped out onto a dirt floor covered with willow bark that had been pulverized with rocks. “What’s this?” she asked.
“Pulverized willow bark,” replied her fairy godmother.
“What happened to the carpet?” she asked.
“The carpet was nylon, which is made from butadiene and hydrogen cyanide, both made from petroleum,” came the response.
Greta smiled, acknowledging that adjustments are necessary to save the planet, and moved to the sink to brush her teeth where instead of a toothbrush, she found a willow, mangled on one end to expose wood fibre bristles.
“Your old toothbrush?” noted her godmother, “Also nylon.”
“Where’s the water?” asked Greta.
“Down the road in the canal,” replied her godmother, ‘Just make sure you avoid water with cholera in it”
“Why’s there no running water?” Greta asked, becoming a little peevish.
“Well,” said her godmother, who happened to teach engineering at MIT, “Where do we begin?” There followed a long monologue about how sink valves need elastomer seats and how copper pipes contain copper, which has to be mined and how it’s impossible to make all-electric earth-moving equipment with no gear lubrication or tires and how ore has to be smelted to a make metal, and that’s tough to do with only electricity as a source of heat, and even if you use only electricity, the wires need insulation, which is petroleum-based, and though most of Sweden’s energy is produced in an environmentally friendly way because of hydro and nuclear, if you do a mass and energy balance around the whole system, you still need lots of petroleum products like lubricants and nylon and rubber for tires and asphalt for filling potholes and wax and iPhone plastic and elastic to hold your underwear up while operating a copper smelting furnace and . . .
“What’s for breakfast?” interjected Greta, whose head was hurting.
“Fresh, range-fed chicken eggs,” replied her godmother. “Raw.”
“How so, raw?” inquired Greta.
“Well, . . .” And once again, Greta was told about the need for petroleum products like transformer oil and scores of petroleum products essential for producing metals for frying pans and in the end was educated about how you can’t have a petroleum-free world and then cook eggs. Unless you rip your front fence up and start a fire and carefully cook your egg in an orange peel like you do in Boy Scouts. Not that you can find oranges in Sweden anymore.
“But I want poached eggs like my Aunt Tilda makes,” lamented Greta.
“Tilda died this morning,” the godmother explained. “Bacterial pneumonia.”
“What?!” interjected Greta. “No one dies of bacterial pneumonia! We have penicillin.”
“Not anymore,” explained godmother “The production of penicillin requires chemical extraction using isobutyl acetate, which, if you know your organic chemistry, is petroleum-based. Lots of people are dying, which is problematic because there’s not any easy way of disposing of the bodies since backhoes need hydraulic oil and crematoriums can’t really burn many bodies using as fuel Swedish fences and furniture, which are rapidly disappearing – being used on the black market for roasting eggs and staying warm.”
This represents only a fraction of Greta’s day, a day without microphones to exclaim into and a day without much food, and a day without carbon-fibre boats to sail in, but a day that will save the planet.
Tune in tomorrow when Greta needs a root canal and learns how Novocain is synthesized.”
Don’t know thw author.
JL,
But why did you copy and paste this rather than address the issues?
Elwood
This is an attempt to show you Lefties how stupid and destructive to civilization is the stupid and insane attempt to stop using petroleum for energy and chemical processes.
Your only issue is that Man Made Global Warming must be stopped by no longer using oil.
Given that CO2 is .04% of the atmosphere and man made CO2 is 11% of that the whole concept of MMGW is silly.
Time and time again the dire predictions fail. And that’s all you have. Failed predictions.
But, tell us what can be done to mediate the problems that you claim will happen.
JL,
But it’s stupid for you to suggest that humans will stop using petroleum products for chemical processes. Yes, humankind will eventually stop using fossil fuels as an energy source.
We thought you were an engineer in a past life? Although engineers are not scientists, they have been trained in some ‘sciencey’ topics including arithmetic and physics, if not the scientific method.
Since CO2 is a potent greenhouse gas (an atmospheric component that impedes infrared radiation to deep space), the statement that CO2 is a ‘trace gas’ is irrelevant. 0.04% carbon monoxide is lethal. The INCREASE in atmospheric CO2 since 1900 results from man’s burning of fossil fuels. Fortunately for humans a atmospheric CO2 equilibrates with the oceans (good for humans but not sea creatures), keeping atmospheric CO2 lower than expected from CO2 production.
Here’s a prediction you should pay attention to: increasing atmospheric CO2 will cause atmospheric warming.
As Mr Drumpf pointed out with his UK golf club, building sea walls can mediate some of the problems from global warming. Cities can be moved inland. Diets will change. Sources of fresh water will change. People will move from drought- and flood-prone areas, from hurricane- and tornado-prone areas, from heatwave- and blizzard-prone areas. Humans are adaptable.
In the long run we need to transition from fossil fuels to other non-CO2 dependent energy sources. Will this make any difference in our lives? Nah. But maybe we owe it to our great-grandkids not to transfer our shortcomings to the future.
Rimjob: Although engineers are not scientists, they have been trained in some ‘sciencey’ topics including arithmetic and physics, if not the scientific method.
Too bad Rimjob cannot claim the same for himself.
Thanks for proving that, chubby.
Carbon offset boy-Natural gas production and demand has been increasing for the last 3 years in the US. US gasoline consumption is still way above what it was 30 years ago.
“Coal “will be” phased out in developing countries. Duke “will be”reducing carbon footprint by 50%. NY electricity from natural gas “expected” to drop to 30%.”. Funny-that all sounds like climate alarmist predictions-to be continuously pushed further into the future..
I wonder if all these folks touting solar power understand that solar panels start deteriorating when put in service and have and end of life around 25 years?
“What is a solar panel’s useful life? Just like a lot of other equipment, solar panels don’t perform at 100% for their entire life and then just stop working in year 30. Instead, solar panels, at a very slow rate, produce less electricity as they age. This process is called degradation.
Because of solar panel degradation, most panels’ production warranties change as they age. Manufacturers typically guarantee 90% of the panels’ production until the first ten years. After ten years, that percentage drops back to 80% for the remaining 15 – 20 years.”
That means that any generating solar plant will have a slowly reduced output requiring constant replacement to insure a constant output.
Or a reduction in demand by turning off X users.
Guess who X will be.
JL why do you think gas consumption is higher now? I got my info by googling
US gasoline consumption by year.US per capita use in 2004 was 475 gal
Now it has fallen tom 402 gal.
JL many predictions HAVE failed. But the median predictions have been acurate. The main prediction that the Earth will continue to get hotter has been correct. I think even you would have to agree to that. The RATE OF INCREASE has also been increasing.
jl have you an alternative explanation as to why this has been happening. Love to hear it ! Increase in radiance? change in orbit?
Volcanic activity ?
Please remember that it was that firebrand leftie Ronald Reagan that first warned us about AGW
Johnny, Johnny…
When speaking of gas consumption, one would believe you’re alluding to fossil fuel emissions. “Per capita” isn’t a good metric when considering emissions-it would be total emissions that would count, not how much per person. That’s only if one is afraid of that type of thing. “Prediction the earth will get warmer..”. The issue would be the cause and the effects. That’s why most of you stop at “it’s warming!”. As far as predictions being correct, also consider that we are still in the process exiting an ice age, and there’s only 3 choices-warmer, cooler or stay the same. “Rate of increase”. The rate was much faster earlier in the Holocene with much less CO2. “Alternative explanations.” There are several, which I have linked here many times in the past. https://phzoe.com/2022/06/24/7-decades-of-net-solar-radiation/