As usual, I have to ask: if things were this bad you would think that all the Warmists would be changing their lifestyles to match their beliefs, right?
The climate is changing so fast that we haven’t seen how bad extreme weather could get
Extreme weather is by definition rare on our planet. Ferocious storms, searing heatwaves and biting cold snaps illustrate what the climate is capable of at its worst. However, since Earth’s climate is rapidly warming, predominantly due to fossil fuel burning, the range of possible weather conditions, including extremes, is changing.
Scientists define “climate” as the distribution of possible weather events observed over a length of time, such as the range of temperatures, rainfall totals or hours of sunshine. From this they construct statistical measures, such as the average (or normal) temperature. Weather varies on several timescales – from seconds to decades – so the longer the period over which the climate is analysed, the more accurately these analyses capture the infinite range of possible configurations of the atmosphere.
Typically, meteorologists and climate scientists use a 30-year period to represent the climate, which is updated every ten years. The most recent climate period is 1991-2020. The difference between each successive 30-year climate period serves as a very literal record of climate change.
This way of thinking about the climate falls short when the climate itself is rapidly changing. Global average temperatures have increased at around 0.2°C per decade over the past 30 years, meaning that the global climate of 1991 was around 0.6°C cooler than that in 2020 (when accounting for other year-to-year fluctuations), and even more so than the present day.
Yet, how many Warmists have given up their own use of fossil fuels? There really is no such thing as extreme weather, it’s just weather. Does the climate cult have any hard data on what it looked like during the previous Holocene warm periods?
Second, the rapidly changing climate means we have not necessarily experienced the extremes that modern-day atmospheric and oceanic warmth can produce. In a stable climate, scientists would have multiple decades for the atmosphere to get into its various configurations and drive extreme events, such as heatwaves, floods or droughts. We could then use these observations to build up an understanding of what the climate is capable of. But in our rapidly changing climate, we effectively have only a few years – not enough to experience everything the climate has to offer.
Define stable environment. Except, storms are not getting more extreme nor more numerous: they are just being noticed more due to satellites, storm chasers, and more humans living in affected zones than previously.
Despite a record-warm planet, summer 2024 in the UK has been relatively cool so far. The past two years have seen global temperatures far above anything previously observed, and so potential extremes have probably shifted even further from what we have so far experienced.
Just as was the case in August 2022, we’ve got away with it for now – but we might not be so lucky next time.
Does this look like journalism or something a cult would produce?
ICYMI – FULL HEARING: Trump shooting Secret Service and FBI Senate Hearing | Video
https://commoncts.blogspot.com/2024/07/icymi-full-hearing-trump-shooting.html
If you were to pay serious attention to the activists, you’d think that Earth would be Venus 2.0 in fifty years.
Mr Dana claims activists predict the Earth’s surface to reach 867°F in fifty years. Let’s hope Mr Dana is wrong!!! If he’s right, Earth will be sterilized.
Currently the mean surface temperature of Earth is about 59°F.
Teach makes a great point: Does the climate cult have any hard data on what it looked like during the previous Holocene warm periods?
There have been no historical records showing that seaside metro areas flooded during the Holocene Climate Optimum or the MWP! Californians did not record wildfires 7000 years ago, did they? Did Oklahomans note tornadoes destroying Tulsa? No!
Did the advanced civilizations in Andes describe the loss of fresh water in 4000 BCE when the globe was nearly as warm as today?? Not that I can find.
The Japanese, Filipinos, Koreans, Indonesians and Chinese did not complain about typhoons destroying their cities between 5000-3000 BCE, did they?
It DOES appear that human civilizations developed in the so-called fertile crescent some 9000 BCE. The warm Holocene Climatic Optimum saved humanity!!
It was almost a miracle that the the Fertile Crescent was home to the eight crops important in early agriculture (i.e., wild progenitors to emmer wheat, einkorn, barley, flax, chick pea, pea, lentil), and four of the five most important species of domesticated animals — cows, goats, sheep, and pigs!
So relax. Humanity will BENEFIT from the expected hundreds of years of warming!