Pirate's Cove

I was specifically told multiple times, including by the Associated Press, that the AMOC would be shutting down soon and we were all Doomed. No?

Computer simulations show nightmare Atlantic current shutdown less likely this century

The nightmare scenario of Atlantic Ocean currents collapsing, with weather running amok and putting Europe in a deep freeze, looks unlikely this century, a new study concludes.

In recent years, studies have raised the alarm about the slowing and potential abrupt shutdown of the Atlantic end of the ocean conveyor belt system. It transports rising warm water north and sinking cool water south and is a key factor in global weather systems. A possible climate change -triggered shutdown of what’s called the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation or AMOC could play havoc with global rain patterns, dramatically cool Europe while warming the rest of the world and goose sea levels on America’s East Coast, scientists predict.

It’s the scenario behind the 2004 fictionalized disaster movie “The Day After Tomorrow,” which portrays a world where climate change sparks massive storms, flooding and an ice age.

Yeah, the doomy movie which significantly over-estimated the time scale and effect of a big change to the AMOC. Because it’s an f’ing disaster movie. What you’d probably get is more like the Little Ice Age. Research has show that a big AMOC change was partially responsible. Because this happens, particularly when you put large amounts of cold, fresh water into the system during a warm period.

Scientists at the United Kingdom’s Met Office and the University of Exeter used simulations from 34 different computer models of extreme climate change scenarios to see if the AMOC would collapse this century, according to a study in Wednesday’s journal Nature. No simulation showed a total shutdown before 2100, said lead author Jonathan Baker, an oceanographer at the Met Office.

It could happen later, though, he said. The currents have collapsed in the distant past.

Still, the computer simulations should be “reassuring” to people, Baker said.

“But this is no greenlight for complacency,” Baker warned. “The AMOC is very likely to weaken this century and that brings its own major climate impacts.”

I trust these people saying this as much as I trust them saying this will happen by 2050. They’re climate cultists, their computer models are shite, and they should be tar, feathered, and driven from town. Anyhow, why is something that is probably not going to happen anytime soon news? Because the next talking point is that if we Do Something now it will forestall the AMOC nightmare. This includes taxing you more and the government controlling your life.