Pirate's Cove

Of course, this is positioned as being caused by “climate change”, because the climate had always been static and predictable prior to 1980

(Treehugger) When Hurricane Irene made landfall along the Eastern seaboard last summer, crippling dozens of communities with record flooding, many folks called the storm a ‘100-year event’ — but a new study suggests that it will be much sooner than century until we see the next one.

A team of scientists from MIT and Princeton University utilized hurricane simulators to determine with what frequency powerful storms could lead to flooding under a variety of climate model projections, and what they found makes all previous usage of the term ‘storm of the century’ mere hyperbole. According to researchers, climate change’s effects on weather systems might mean storms like Hurricane Irene, once considered rare, occur every 3 to 20 years.

You mean that little storm that wasn’t really a hurricane, and had a top wind speed of 9mph in Central Park? The first supposed hurricane to hit the continental United States in 3 years? Of course, that is not to diminish the large amounts of rain it dumped. But, it “may” mean dooooooom! Perhaps. Maybe. Might. I’d be more impressed if they would predict what would happen over the next 5 years. Certainly, with all their computer programs, they could do that, instead of decades in the future

From MIT News Office:

To simulate present and future storm activity in the region, the researchers combined four climate models with a specific hurricane model. The combined models generated 45,000 synthetic storms within a 200-kilometer radius of Battery Park, at the southern tip of Manhattan.

They studied each climate model under two scenarios: a “current climate” condition representing 1981 to 2000 and a “future climate” condition reflecting the years 2081 to 2100, a prediction based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s projections of future moderate carbon dioxide output. While there was some variability among the models, the team generally found that the frequency of intense storms would increase due to climate change.

So, they’re using discredited and unscientific computer models which can only be used to predict the past, but have failed spectacularly to predict the future, as their basis? Garbage in garbage out. Except, IPCC models often fail to predict the past. This is all so similar to going to see a psychic.