Time to pull out the pirate grog dance. Way back in 2011, Anthony Watts noted a new record for days since a major hurricane (category 3 or greater) made landfall on the United States. This started when Hurricane Wilma struck Florida on October 24th, 2005. During that record breaking season, Climatists told us that the the 2005 season would be the “new normal”. Of course, immediately after that landfalling hurricanes started to dry up.
Dr. Roy Spencer pointed out on October 1st, 2014, that is has been 3264 days since, as hurricane season was winding down. Of course, climahysterics are blaming things like natural variation and luck. Some are even blaming “climate change”. And some are even claiming now, after their previous failed prognostication, that global warming will cause fewer tropical systems. Even the UN IPCC is blowing off their prognostication from their 2007 hysteric report.
Now, many who are looking at the record are only going back to 1900.
If we look back further, all the way to the Civil War era, we see no major hurricanes making landfall from August 11, 1860 to September 8, 1869. That’s 3315 days.
As of today, that record is broken at 3316 days.
What is causing this? You’re guess is as good as mine, which are the same guesses scientists are making. Some have claimed cooling periods are a driver. We had a slight cooling from the mid-40’s into the late 70’s, and activity jumped. But it also fell off after 1971. Warming didn’t really start till 1980. There was decent activity during the 30’s, when there was a big spike. The Civil War era was one of increasing temperatures, as the Little Ice Age ended. There has be a Pause since 1997, yet we had a good amount through 2005. Â But then a drop off.
Crossed at Right Wing News.
And yet, the Earth continues to warm.
And yet, it doesn’t. And even if it did it proves nothing as to why. But hurricanes form over warm water, so that pesky heat must hiding somewhere else.
The Earth, thermometers, the Arctic and Antarctic ice sheets and almost every scientist disagrees with you.
What is your explanation for why the Earth is warming, if it is? That’s rhetorical
Do all tropical storms form near the US and hit here, or… can they form in parts of the world too? Do you think that the number of Category 3 or better that make landfall in the US (2% of the Earth’s surface) is the best measure of whether the Earth is warming?
Someone with even a little curiosity might consider tropical storms worldwide, not just over the US coastline.
But let’s be honest. Deniers argue like bad lawyers, not like scientists. Your interest is in winning, not truth.
Another interesting factoid !!
However Teach if we remove the limiting landfall on US is that still true ?
Has the total seasonal number of major hurricanes decreased ?
Or increased ?
Try taking a more global outlook Teach at least you have learned to no longer post the ” it snowed in Abu Dhabi” items
The global tropical cyclone activity is well tracked, but only in the modern satellite era where we see all storms whether or not they make landfall.
Both the number of hurricanes, and the total energy which factors in storm strength, are tracked.
Storm frequency:
http://policlimate.com/tropical/global_major_freq.png
Global Cyclone Energy:
http://policlimate.com/tropical/global_running_ace.png
“The earth, thermometers, the Arctic, Antarctic, and almost every scientist disagrees with you.” Actually, the first four agree with me. The earth isn’t warming when measured by un-adjusted satellite data. The Arctic ice was “supposed” to gone by, well, whenever the next astrologer says it will. But it isn’t and it won’t. Antarctic ice is near record extent. And the “almost every scientist” is that tired mantra of the alarmists that means nothing. It’s the (lack of) data that counts.
Ryan Maue at policlimate is part of Denier Joe Bastardi’s stable of Deniers. He also posts at WUWT. This doesn’t invalidate his data but does make it suspect.
Did you find it interesting that the hurricane frequency correlates with El Nino?
[…] The Pirate’s Cove reports: […]
Uh, yeah, because that was the point of the post.
An interesting question. We do not truly have enough data, since so many tropical systems are seen now because of satellites, where if you go just back to the 1960’s, the only way to know was if one made landfall or a plane or ship saw it. Hence the looking at landfalling data.
Do you have one?
Ryan Maue at policlimate is part of Denier Joe Bastardi’s stable of Deniers. He also posts at WUWT. This doesn’t invalidate his data but does make it suspect.
The only thing suspect is your mental capacity to debate, having combined two associate fallacies, an appeal to ridicule, and a circumstantial ad hominem in one statement. All that in a pathetic attempt to support your previous logical fallacies. This is what happens every time you post on AGW: Make some pop-sci assertion, then attack counterpoints with childish fallacies. You lose every time and you are too dense to see it. You don’t seem to have one iota of scientific training because what you always make are political arguments that are ‘sciencey’. Therefore what you are really making is a mess.