Pirate's Cove

Hey, we’re back to the few but more powerful meme, after earlier this year they were saying there would be more

Global Warming Causes Fewer Tropical Cyclones

Global warming is making the atmosphere more hostile to the formation of tropical cyclones. By the early 2010s there were about 13 percent fewer storms across all oceans than there were in the late 19th century, according to a new study published on Monday in Nature Climate Change.

But having fewer hurricanes and typhoons does not make them less of a threat. Those that do manage to form are more likely to reach higher intensities as the world continues to heat up with the burning of fossil fuels.

I have to wonder, are they seeing something in the potential formation for the rest of the 2022 season that is making them come out with this? You just know that if the season sees a lot of tropical storms they will be right back to claiming that your carbon footprint is creating them. And if the season flames out, that will also be your fault

Scientists have been trying for decades to answer the question of how climate change will affect tropical cyclones, given the large-scale death and destruction these storms can cause. Climate models have suggested the number of storms should decline as global temperatures rise, but that had not been confirmed in the historical record. Detailed tropical cyclone data from satellites only go back until about the 1970s, which is not long enough to pick out trends driven by global warming.

It’s too short a time to make a determination, since you had cooling till the late 70’s, then warming, then a long Pause, then some warming, and now another pause. What about the cooling from the late 40’s through the late 70’s? The warming of the 30’s through late 40’s? How about what it looked like during the Little Ice Age and Medieval Warm Period? Yes, yes, it is damn near impossible to collect that data, but, it would be crucial to understand if what we’re seeing is expected.

Of course, Warmists will say “but, that was then, it was natural, now it’s all Someone Else’s fault.”

The new study worked around those limitations by using what is called a reanalysis: the highest-quality available observations are fed into a weather computer model. “That’s something which gets us close to what the observation would have looked like,” essentially “filling in the gaps,” says study co-author Savin Chand, an atmospheric scientist at Federation University Australia. This gives researchers a reasonably realistic picture of the atmosphere over time, in this case going back to 1850. Chand and his team developed an algorithm that could pick out tropical cyclones in that reanalysis data set, enabling them to look for trends over a 162-year period.

OK, so, they’re just making shit up. No surprise.