Pirate's Cove

Why would they be dealing with grief?

What climate scientists are predicting for the globe in 2024

As a year of surprising global warmth came to a close, a record high annual average temperature was already assured. Now, some scientists are already speculating: 2024 could be even hotter. (snip)

But such climate trends can be difficult to predict with precision. After all, at the start of 2023, scientists predicted the year would end as one of the planet’s warmest on record. They didn’t expect it to set so many new precedents — and by record-wide margins.

“The fact that we are in uncharted territory, we don’t actually know what will happen next,” said Carlo Buontempo, director of the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service.

Funny how they’ve been more than happy to talk about Doom, to predict doom, but, won’t actually make specific predictions for the short term. Long term, they’re happy to do so

(UK Guardian) “Scientists say temperatures could rise by 6C by 2100 and call for action ahead of UN meeting in Paris” – Independent, 2015.

A world that was 6C warmer than it is today would be devastating. And remember, 6C is just the average. Some parts of the world would get much warmer, especially the poles. Crops would fail. Many people would be malnourished. Forests would be stripped back into savannahs. Island nations would be completely submerged. Many cities will have disappeared due to sea-level rise. Climate refugees will be on the move. “Normal” temperatures in many parts of the world would be unbearable. Even the richest, most temperate nations would see devastating floods most winters and baking summers. We would be at very high risk of setting off warming feedback loops – the melted ice would reflect less sunlight, the melted permafrost might unlock methane from the bottom of the ocean, and dying forests wouldn’t be able to regrow to suck carbon out of the atmosphere. A 6C warmer world might be short-lived – it could quickly spiral into 8C, 10C or more. It would be a massive humanitarian disaster.

6C would be 10.8F above. By 2100, of course

Dealing With Grief From Climate Change

In our state, we see the effects of climate change around us seemingly every day — storms, flooding, wildfires, extreme heat waves. Such events are changing the landscape and feeling of California and making a lot of us worried. So how do we handle the anxiety and even the grief that stem from climate change?
Guest: Erica Hellerstein, Investigative Reporter

There’s no article, just a podcast-like thingy, which gets as stupid as you’d expect. When these people are treated to a litany of doom, how else are they supposed to feel? Going back to that Guardian piece, the writer is no longer worried about the 6C thing, just 2C

My perspective flipped quickly after studying the data, not newspaper headlines. I didn’t focus on where we are today, but on the pace that things have moved at in the past few years, and what this means for the future. One organisation – the Climate Action Tracker – follows every country’s climate policies, and its pledges and targets. It combines them all to map out what will happen to the global climate. At Our World in Data, I sketch out these future climate trajectories and update them every year. Every time, they get closer and closer to the pathways we would need to follow to stay below 2C.

The headlines are scaremongering, but, where are they getting that from? The cult scientists. The UN. John Kerry. Joe Biden. Etc

So, really, how about Warmists answer the climate challenge?

Happy New Year’s! Welcome to 2024, and a new decade. And one year closer to End Of Life As We Know it. 2150 and 2200 are fast approaching, the primary dates that the climate alarmists always want to use to denote when Earth is going to burn, baby, burn in fire, dan dan daaaan, fire, dan dan daaaaan.

New Year’s is usually a time when we make resolutions which we abandon when we realize that chocolate, bacon, and beer are great (and bacon cooked in beer and covered with chocolate!) In the blogosphere, we often make predictions for the New Year. Instead, how about a challenge?

For a long time, the alarmists have been making predictions as to what the climate will do. They say in 10 years, 50, 100. Instead, why not, say, make predictions for 2024! What I want for them to do, from the biggest of big climahypocrites, such as Al Gore, James Hansen, Barack Obama, and Leonardo DiCaprio, to the smallest climate dupes, is tell us exactly what the climate will do this year. For some of these questions, I’m using the USA, but, alarmists from around the world can use their own country/region, if they like:

• What will the average temperature of the Earth be for 2024? Most scientists place it at 59 degrees F (15 C). How far above, or below, will it be?
• What will the average temperature be for the USA?  The rough average for the USA is 53 F.
• How many tropical systems will there be in the Atlantic? How many will hit the USA?
• What will the four seasons do in 2024? Warmer, colder, hotter, wetter? Tell us
• What will each month look like in the USA? How about in your home state?
• Which months will be above average, and which ones below, temperature wise?
• What states will have big floods, and during what months?
• What will tornado season look like?
• How many destructive thunderstorms will there be, and in which states?
• How many extreme weather events will there be?
• How much ice will the poles gain/lose?
• Will the Arctic be ice free this summer?
• What will the average precipitation be for your home city? Average temperature? Average lows and highs?
• How many earthquakes will there be (since, apparently, climate change/globull warming creates earthquakes)?
• Pick an island, and tell us how much the sea will rise around it.

There are many, many, many more questions that can be asked, but, I know what the alarmists are thinking: Teach, that is weather, not climate! I refuse to participate! Ah, but, what, exactly, is climate? Let’s pull a couple good definitions

• Climate encompasses the statistics of temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, wind, rainfall, atmospheric particle count and numerous other meteorological elements in a given region over long periods of time
• Climate is the average weather conditions at a particular place over a long period of time. Climate is the long-term predictable state of the atmosphere. It is affected by physical features such as mountains, rivers, positioning of the globe, plateaus, deserts, depressions and much more.
• The general or typical atmospheric conditions for a place and/or period of time. Conditions include rainfall, temperature, thunderstorms, lightning, freezes, etc.

Notice, long term predictable. Weather and other natural forces create climate. And right now the alarmists are saying “but, Teach, one year is not considered to be a long period of time!” Well, you have plenty of data available for the long term, and, with all your vast knowledge of what the climate is doing, due to man’s release of greenhouse gases, surely you alarmists can make predictions for 2024 based on that long term data, and be mostly correct, right? Surely, you aren’t afraid to make predictions for this year, and tell us what the climate during 2024 will do, right? But, you have to make your predictions, and can’t go back and change them up as the year goes on. And at the end of the year, we will see how well you have done.

Any alarmist up for the challenge? And no cheating be reading the Farmer’s Almanac, which tends to be right way more than the Met, NASA, UN IPCC, and other alarmist groups are. Forget about your PR blitzes, spreading awareness campaigns, your advocacy, your stunts, and tell us what will happen. If you’re correct, for a change, maybe people will start to believe you again.

Oh, and a second challenge: live your life in 2024 in the manner you tell everyone else to live. Change your life. Buy an electric vehicle, ditching your use of fossil fuels. Demand your high poobahs in the Cult of Climastrology practice what they preach. Start with China Joe.