Pirate's Cove

By soon, they mean 2053. Unless you are forced to pay a tax and take out long loans for an EV

A quarter of the U.S. will fall inside an extreme heat belt. Here are the states in the red zone.

Last month, just as record-setting heat waves scorched the U.K. and parts of Europe, some 60 million Americans experienced a string of hot and humid days that topped 100 degrees.

Prepare for more of these extremes.

New research and an accompanying planning tool show that across the U.S., on average, the local hottest 7 days are expected to become the hottest 18 days by 2053.

By that year, 1,023 U.S. counties are expected to exceed 125°F, an area that is home to 107.6 million Americans and covers a quarter of the U.S. land area, says nonprofit First Street.

First Street on Monday released the latest installment of a tool called Risk Factor that’s accessible free of charge, and increasingly incorporated into real estate listings, specifically through a partnership with Realtor.com.

Here’s what it looks like, per the pain in the butt formatted Axios piece, with all their bullet points, which have to be changed up to work with WordPress. The graphic is interactive at the link

I’m sure it’s just a coincidence that most of those areas vote Republican, right? They aren’t trying to bring the scaremongering in a way to influence Republicans, right? Hopefully it means Liberals will stay away

According to First Street, the most severe shift in local temperatures is found in Miami-Dade county in Florida where the seven hottest days, currently at 103°F, will increase to 34 days at that same temperature by 2053.

BS

What’s more, the First Street model finds 50 counties, home to 8.1 million residents, are expected to experience temperatures above 125°F in 2023, the highest level of the National Weather Services’ heat index.

So, next year? Who’s held responsible for the scaremongering? Who is held responsible at news organizations publishing this doomsaying with zero pushback, zero accountability, zero skepticism, zero making them prove it? Will all the news outlets publishing this follow up to see the results next year?

By 2053, 1,023 counties, about 25% of the total U.S., are expected to exceed 125°F. This emerging area, concentrated in a geographic region that First Street calls the “extreme heat belt,” stretches from the northern Texas and Louisiana borders to Illinois, Indiana, and even into Wisconsin.

The piece is sorta leaving out that it will be the heat index, not the actual temperature. It’s very convenient using a timeframe that no one will remember. Much seems arbitrary. Why Wilson, Durham, Harnett, Nash, and Orange counties yes in 2053, but, not Wake, right in the middle of them? Which has a higher population, higher growth, and more urbanization and suburbanization?

Read: Your Fault: U.S. To Soon Have “Extreme Heat Belts” Or Something »

Of all the articles I’ve perused on this little bit of doomsaying, I’ve yet to see one which gives a timeframe

Experts warn California of a disaster ‘larger than any in world history.’ It’s not an earthquake.

Megadrought may be the main weather concern across the West right now amid the constant threat of wildfires and earthquakes. But a new study warns another crisis is looming in California: “Megafloods.”

Climate change is increasing the risk of floods that could submerge cities and displace millions of people across the state, according to a study released Friday.

It says that an extreme monthlong storm could bring feet of rain – in some places, more than 100 inches – to hundreds of miles of California. Similarly unrelenting storms have happened in the past, before the region became home to tens of millions of people.

Now, each degree of global warming is dramatically increasing the odds and size of the next megaflood, the study says.

How much? Because we’ve only seen a minor 1.5F increase in global temperatures since 1850. What’s the timeframe for this flooding?

In fact, the study found that climate change makes such catastrophic flooding twice as likely to occur.

As compared to when? What happened during the previous Holocene warm periods? How about during the cool periods

Long before climate change, California’s Great Flood of 1862 stretched up to 300 miles long and 60 miles across. According to the study, a similar flood now would displace 5 million to 10 million people, cut off the state’s major freeways for perhaps weeks or months with massive economic damage, and submerge major Central Valley cities as well as parts of Los Angeles.

So, what caused it in 1862, not long after the Little Ice Age ended?

The researchers used new high-resolution weather models and existing climate models to compare two extreme scenarios, according to UCLA: one that would occur about once a century in the historical climate of recent decades and another in the projected climate of 2081-2100.

And there we go, computer models with extreme doom built in.

“Parts of cities such as Sacramento, Stockton, Fresno and Los Angeles would be under water even with today’s extensive collection of reservoirs, levees and bypasses. It is estimated that it would be a $1 trillion disaster, larger than any in world history,” according to the statement.

Not seeing the downside.

Read: Experts Predict Flooding Doom For California Coming Sometime »