Yeah, this is not a repeat of other articles on the negligible effect of the “Inflation Reduction Act”
Inflation Reduction Act ‘will have no measurable impact on inflation,’ economists say
President Biden recently signed the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) into law with the goal of taming inflation and addressing climate, tax, and health care issues.
According to economists, however, the $430 billion price tag over the next 10 years is a hefty amount for what they consider to be marginal economic returns.
“Our preliminary analysis of the ‘Inflation Reduction Act’ (IRA), a climate, tax, and health-focused bill, shows it will boost the level of GDP by about 0.2%-0.3% by the end of 2031 and, despite its name, will have no measurable impact on inflation,” Oxford Economics economists wrote in a new note.
Though economists at Wells Fargo agreed that the IRA’s actual effect on inflation would be minimal.
“In our view, the IRA will not have a major impact on the outlook for the U.S. macroeconomy over the next year or two,” the economists wrote in a separate note. “A tightening of fiscal policy can be disinflationary by slowing aggregate demand growth. The IRA does impose some fiscal tightening, such as the 15% minimum tax on corporations’ financial statement income and the 1% excise tax on stock buybacks. However, these new taxes are relatively small, amounting to just 0.1% of GDP per year.”
Mostly, those who think it will have an itty bitty effect are looking at the Obamacare subsidies being renewed and possibly the reduction of some medicine prices going down from negotiation (which doesn’t kick in till 2026). None are mentioning anything about the essentials, like food, clothing, and energy going down even a tiny bit.
Still, when combined with the recently passed CHIPS and Science Act and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law passed in 2021, the passage of the IRA marks “unprecedented, sizable investments in the climate agenda,” the economists added.
If the big Republican groups, such as the Senate Leadership Group and the National Republican Congressional Committee, and the GOP leadership as a whole, had any brains they would be incorporating this into their campaign talking points right now, just like the murder party is yammering about their support for abortion on demand, because the IRA won’t help the middle and working classes with inflation, and will probably increase their cost of energy, which will increase the cost of essential and non-essential goods and services.
Read: More Economists: IRA Will Have Barely To No Effect On Reducing Inflation »