Good News: Inflation To Stay High Even As Gas Prices Fall

Well, yeah, because gas is still much higher than when Biden took office, and so much of today’s prices have that price increase built in. Plus, there are many other factors

US inflation will likely stay high even as gas prices fall

Americans may finally be catching a break from relentlessly surging prices — if just a slight one — even as inflation is expected to remain painfully high for months.

Thanks largely to falling gas prices, the government’s inflation report for July, to be released Wednesday morning, is expected to show that prices jumped 8.7% from a year earlier — still a sizzling pace but a slowdown from the 9.1% year-over-year figure in June, which was the highest in four decades.

The forecast by economists, if it proves correct, would raise hopes that inflation might have peaked and that the run of punishingly higher prices is beginning to ease slightly. There have been other hopeful signs, too, that the pace of inflation may be moderating.

At the same time, an array of other economic developments are threatening to keep intensifying inflation pressures. The pace of hiring is robust and average wages are up sharply. And even as gas prices fall, inflation in services such as health care, rents and restaurant meals is accelerating. Price changes in services tend to be sticky and don’t ease as quickly as they do for gas, food or other goods. Those trends suggest that overall inflation may not drop significantly anytime soon.

There are a lot more factors, especially the low availaibility of microchips and used vehicles, which really increase inflation. The lack of new vehicles doesn’t help, not when dealers are, at best, charging MSRP, at worst, charging thousands more. You can find cause after cause, going back to China’s COVID19.

Other items may have also helped lower price gains in July: Food costs, though they likely kept rising, probably did so at a slower pace than in June. Prices for used cars, clothing and rental cars may have fallen, too.

Not sure about clothes, but, the other two have not dropped.

The number of ships waiting to be unloaded at the Los Angeles/Long Beach port has fallen for six straight months, according to Oxford Economics. Shipping costs have generally leveled off or declined, including for trucking and rail services, Oxford said, though they remain high.

Those costs may not be going up much, if at all, but, they are staying elevated. A tiny decrease won’t mean much at all.

But a survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, released Monday, showed that Americans now expect lower inflation in the next few years than they did a month ago. Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management, said lower inflation expectations may allow the Fed to react less aggressively to reports, such as last month’s burst of hiring, that suggest the economy is still strong and that inflation could remain high.

Well, yeah, we don’t expect it to stay high. We aren’t Venezuela or some 3rd world nation. But, people do still expect this to go on for years.

Falling prices online and at the pump fuel hopes for inflation-ravaged economy

The Biden administration on Tuesday got some much-needed good news on inflation: Online consumer prices dropped in July — the first time in more than two years that’s happened.

It’s another early sign that the white-hot inflation that has plagued the economy for more than a year could be abating as the Federal Reserve aggressively raises interest rates. Gas prices have dropped for eight straight weeks. Key commodities costs have eased. Walmart and other giant retailers are slashing prices. And even consumers are telling the Fed that their long-term fears of inflation are subsiding.

The problem here is that it looks good, but, much is due to demand destruction, meaning people are using less gas and buying fewer products, especially non-essential goods and services. People will still notice that gas is, nationally, $4.01, much higher than January 20th, 2021. Home energy is high. Food is high. Essentials are high.

Read: Good News: Inflation To Stay High Even As Gas Prices Fall »

Good News: Myanmar Bears Cost For Elites Green Agenda

I’m rather surprised that the big wigs at the Associated Press allowed this to be published

‘The Sacrifice Zone’: Myanmar bears cost of green energy

The birds no longer sing. The fish no longer swim in rivers that have turned a murky brown. The animals do not roam, and the cows are sometimes found dead.

The people in this northern Myanmar forest have lost a way of life that goes back generations. But if they complain, they, too, face the threat of death.

This forest is the source of several key metallic elements known as rare earths, often called the vitamins of the modern world. Rare earths now reach into the lives of almost everyone on the planet, turning up in everything from hard drives and cellphones to elevators and trains. They are especially vital to the fast-growing field of green energy, feeding wind turbines and Tesla engines. And they end up in the supply chains of some of the most prominent companies in the world, including General Motors, Volkswagen, Mercedes, Tesla and Apple.

But an AP investigation has found that their universal use hides a dirty open secret in the industry: Their cost is environmental destruction, the theft of land from villagers and the funneling of money to brutal militias, including at least one linked to Myanmar’s secretive military government. And as demand soars for rare earths along with green energy, the abuses are likely to grow.

“This rapid push to build out mining capacity is being justified in the name of climate change,” said Julie Michelle Klinger, author of the book “Rare Earths Frontiers,” who is leading a federal project to trace illicit energy minerals. “There’s still this push to find the right place to mine them, which is a place that is out of sight and out of mind.”

But, hey, it’s over there in the 3rd World, which means the 1st World elitist climate cultists do not have to see what their beliefs are causing. Most companies did not respond to the APs questions. Better

The State Department, which leads work on securing the U.S. rare earths supply, did not respond to repeated requests for comment. But experts say the government weighs the regulation of rare earths against other green goals, such as the sales and use of electric vehicles. Rare earths are also omitted from the European Union’s 2021 regulation on conflict minerals.

Yeah, so the State Department is blowing smoke and providing cover all in the name of the Climate Cult.

There is a name for what Myanmar has become: A “sacrifice zone,” or a place that destroys itself for the good of the world.

Good job, Warmists

Militias are rampant in these northern forest frontier areas, including at least one tied to the military-backed Border Guard Force. The Myanmar military or Tatmadaw is under international sanctions for human rights abuses after it seized power last year. That means the rare earths money it gets from the militia may be fueling a violent crackdown against civilians. The Myanmar military and militia leaders did not respond to requests for comment.

Hey, there has to be some sacrifice for the green agenda, right?

Read: Good News: Myanmar Bears Cost For Elites Green Agenda »

Hot Take: Trump Could Be Charged With Espionage Act Violations

Did we not hear something about this in 2016?

Trump could be charged with violating the Espionage Act, former DOJ national security chief says

The former chief of the Justice Department’s national security division said Tuesday that the search of Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Fla., suggests that the former president could be charged with violating the World War I-era Espionage Act.

That law has traditionally been used to target government leakers, such as former NSA contractor Edward Snowden. But it also “actually has provisions that apply to essentially the mishandling [of classified material] through gross negligence, permitting documents to be removed from their proper place, or to be lost, stolen or destroyed,” Mary McCord, a veteran federal prosecutor who headed DOJ’s national security division in the closing years of the Obama administration, told the Yahoo News “Skullduggery” podcast.

McCord said that the Espionage Act is one of two federal crimes that appear to apply to Trump’s reported conduct. He could also be charged, she said, with violating another federal statute that targets anyone who “willfully and unlawfully conceals, removes, mutilates, obliterates, falsifies or destroys public records.”

OK, this speculation, a lot of others think this is related to the stupid J6 stuff. Regardless, if Trump is charged, how will the same media and Democrats react when they cheered on Hillary Clinton actually doing everything mentioned above and being let off the hook scott free? It really is a two tiered justice system, and it will tear the country apart further. You know there was no way in hell that the FBI performed a pre-dawn raid on Trump’s Mar-A-Lago residence without the knowledge of Merrick Garland and Joe Biden.

I’m surprised the Washington Post let him post this. Look, this is going to harden support for Trump to run again. Personally, I want some new blood, but, this will fire up the GOP voters (excluding the unhinged #NeverTrumpers who’ve given up all pretense of conservative leanings) to get out there, starting with the mid-terms.

Read: Hot Take: Trump Could Be Charged With Espionage Act Violations »

Good News: Almost No EVs Will Qualify For The Tax Credits

This is what happens when you neither read nor understand the legislation you’re voting for, when you’re just desperate to Do Something and do not really consider that it actually has to make sense, not just be a Talking Point

The climate bill could short-circuit EV tax credits, making qualifying for them nearly impossible

The U.S. Senate passed a far-reaching climate, energy and health care bill on Aug. 7, 2022, that invests an unprecedented US$370 billion in energy and climate programs over the next 10 years – including incentives to expand renewable energy and electric vehicles.

Rapid and widespread adoption of electric vehicles will be essential for the United States to meet its climate goals. And the new bill, which includes a host of other health and tax-related provisions, aims to encourage people to trade their gasoline-fueled cars for electrics by offering a tax credit of up to $7,500 for new electric vehicles and up to $4,000 for used electric vehicles through 2032.

But there’s a catch, and it could end up making it difficult for most EVs to qualify for the new incentive.

A catch? The hell you say!

The bill, which needs House approval, requires that new electric vehicles meet stringent sourcing requirements for critical materials, the components of the battery, and final assembly to qualify for the tax credits. While some automakers, like Tesla and GM, have well-developed domestic supply chains, no electric vehicle manufacturer currently meets all the bill’s requirements.

Wait, what was that final line? “no EV manufacturer currently meets all the bill’s requirements.” Huh. That’s what you would call a Class 1 Fuckup.

The problem is that the Inflation Reduction Act’s sourcing requirements come online so quickly, starting in 2023, and ratchet upward so rapidly, that the plan could backfire. Instead of expanding electric vehicle adoption, the policy could make almost all electric vehicles ineligible for the tax incentives.

The bill excludes incentives for any new vehicle which contains battery materials or components extracted, processed, manufactured or assembled by a “foreign entity of concern” – a category which includes China.

Whoops. At least 40% of the battery components must come from the U.S. or a nation we have a fair trade deal. China controls somewhere between 60-80% of the market at this time, and are producing 76% of the world’s EV batteries. (that info via Reason)

Although EV manufacturers are already pursuing plans to develop supply chains that meet these sourcing requirements, proposals for mines and processing facilities often face challenges. Indigenous and environmental concerns have slowed a proposed lithium mine in Nevada. In some cases, key materials, such as cobalt and graphite, are not readily sourced domestically or from fair-trade allies.

Double whoops. And, seriously, do you think there won’t be lawsuits left and right if the federal government even greenlights domestic mining? The hardcore enviroweenies won’t allow it. And, if it looks like it has a chance of going forward, they will do anything from mass protests at the site to performing illegal acts.

(Reuters) Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow of Michigan told Reuters on Tuesday: “It’s a very cumbersome, unworkable credit once the full restrictions set in. There’s conversations going on.”

Perhaps you should have thought of this before jamming the legislation through.

Read: Good News: Almost No EVs Will Qualify For The Tax Credits »

If All You See…

…is horrible carbon polluting concrete, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is Victory Girls Blog, with a post on Biden’s Afghanistan debacle one year later.

Read: If All You See… »

NY Times: Consumers Will Totally Save Money From IRA

I love that Democrats are referring to the Inflation Reduction Act as the IRA (when they aren’t referring to it as pretty much anything besides an inflation reduction measure), because it’s going to blow a lot of things up (not paywalled version here)

Consumers Will Benefit From Lower Utility Bills and Cheaper Home Upgrades, Energy Experts Say

spite houseThe Inflation Reduction Act that was passed by the Senate on Sunday could lower electricity bills for consumers and the prices of things such as rooftop solar panels, energy-efficient appliances and electric vehicles, Democrats and some energy experts said.

Under the legislation, a home improvement credit for energy efficiency would allow households to deduct from their taxes up to 30% of the cost of upgrades like heat pumps and insulation. Another provision extends a program that allows households that are installing solar or battery storage systems to deduct 30% of the cost of those projects from their taxes. (skipping a short paragraph on a hardcore leftist group saying it will save $1,800, which I covered here)

The package also continues an incentive for families to replace their gas-powered vehicles with electric. It extends a current $7,500 tax credit for new electric vehicles and $4,000 for a used one. Couples who earn less than $300,000 a year or individuals who earn less than $150,000 a year would be eligible for the credits, and consumers would get the discount at the dealership.

So, if you spend a hundred grand, you can save a bit, eh? Heat pumps: they cost about the same as a new AC system. Why would you replace your existing system if it still works? Also, they’re only good for certain climates. North of the Mason Dixon line they might be OK, but, not in the South and Southwest. It’s much smarter to have a split system, with an AC unit and furnace.

The average cost of installing solar panels is $18,000. Oh, sure, it will be less with federal “rebates”, but, does the average family have that cash sitting around? Then the cost of batteries. Oh, and then the cost of insulation, which had already skyrocketed while Obama was in office pushing the same thing, same with efficient windows, will go up more.

EVs? Well

Republicans said they expected the measure to drive up inflation and said the credits would not help Americans.

“They’re not into buying an electric car any time in the near future,” Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., said of his constituents. “They’d like gas prices to come down because we’re producing more oil.”

The majority of EV buyers make at least $150K a year, so, upper middle class and the rich. This is not for the average American. And, that’s the end of the article. There’s nothing else about how this will lower energy bills. Zip. I’ve left just two paragraphs, the aforementioned one on $1,800 savings and

“This bill will help create jobs and lower costs for many American families,” in addition to slowing climate change, said Sen. Tom Carper, D-Del.

No one in the media seems to be asking for actual details, and the media cannot provide details themselves. It really is a giveaway to the rich at the expense of the middle and lower classes

Separately, the Times also delves into food prices, with this wonderful graphic

Yeah, it’s hilariously about upscale dining and increased costs (which never really seem to blame China for releasing COVID19). Gochujang? Scallops? Arugula? Quail?

Read: NY Times: Consumers Will Totally Save Money From IRA »

NY Times: Say, These EVs Are Rather Expensive For The Middle And Lower Classes, Eh?

After all this time pushing how utterly wonderful EVs are, the NY Times finally got the memo. The best part is the subhead

Electric Cars Too Costly for Many, Even With Aid in Climate Bill
Battery-powered vehicles are considered essential to the fight against climate change, but most models are aimed at the affluent.

Oh, now they tell us

Electric vehiclePolicymakers in Washington are promoting electric vehicles as a solution to climate change. But an uncomfortable truth remains: Battery-powered cars are much too expensive for a vast majority of Americans.

Congress has begun trying to address that problem. The climate and energy package passed on Sunday by the Senate, the Inflation Reduction Act, would give buyers of used electric cars a tax credit.

But automakers have complained that the credit would apply to only a narrow slice of vehicles, at least initially, largely because of domestic sourcing requirements. And experts say broader steps are needed to make electric cars more affordable and to get enough of them on the road to put a serious dent in greenhouse gas emissions.

High prices are caused by shortages of batteries, of raw materials like lithium and of components like semiconductors. Strong demand for electric vehicles from affluent buyers means that carmakers have little incentive to sell cheaper models. For low- and middle-income people who don’t have their own garages or driveways, another obstacle is the lack of enough public facilities to recharge.

Sell cheaper? There’s a cost to make a vehicle. Does the NY Times sell it’s paper cheaper, or, do they need to actually sell at a profitable price?

To some extent, the carmakers are following their usual game plan. They have always introduced new technology at a luxury price. With time, the features and gadgets make their way into cheaper cars.

But emission-free technology has an urgency that voice navigation or massaging seats did not. Transportation accounts for 27 percent of greenhouse gas emissions in the United States, according to the Environmental Protection Agency. Battery-powered cars produce far less carbon dioxide than vehicles that run on gasoline or diesel. That’s true even accounting for the emissions from generating electricity and from manufacturing batteries, according to numerous studies.

The strange part is that those in a position to demand this stuff, like those in the Credentialed Media, appointed officials, and elected politicians don’t seem, for the most part, to be giving up their own fossil fueled vehicles and travel. If the GOP had any cajones they’d start introducing legislation requiring members of Congress, their staffs, appointed Executive Branch officials, and members of the White House to take non-fossil fueled travel. Sure, it won’t pass at the moment, but, it would show the hypocrisy.

Read: NY Times: Say, These EVs Are Rather Expensive For The Middle And Lower Classes, Eh? »

Politicized FBI Raids Trump’s Mar-O-Lago

This is the same FBI which refused to do its job when Hillary Clinton broke national security law, worked to destroy Trump before the 2016 election, pushed the phony Russia collusion, and tried to cover up Hunter Biden’s stuff and how it links to Joe Biden, among others

FBI Raids Former President Donald Trump’s Home

Former President Donald Trump’s Florida home, Mar-A-Lago, was raided by FBI agents, Trump announced in a statement on Monday.

“These are dark times for our Nation, as my beautiful home, Mar- A-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, is currently under siege, raided, and occupied by a large group of FBI agents,” Trump said. “Nothing like this has ever happened to a President of the United States before.”

“The political persecution of President Donald J. Trump has been going on for years, with the now fully debunked Russia, Russia, Russia Scam, Impeachment Hoax #1, Impeachment Hoax #2, and so much more, it just never ends,” Trump said. “It is political targeting at the highest level!”

He also pointed out that “absolutely nothing has happened” to failed presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, who deleted 33,000 emails after they were subpoenaed by Congress.

Remember, there was an open FBI investigation, and she wiped a server, which is pretty much obstruction of justice. And they knew she was using the server in violation….you know all this stuff.

So, what happens now? The Democrats have now set the standard, but, will the GOP play this same game, or continue with the get along go along method? If a team is running your big players in the NHL, you don’t sit back and take it, you start throwing hits, and fighting if necessary. Otherwise, the team is going to keep doing it. Just like the Democrats did to the GOP with things like IRS targeting, and the GOP did….nothing. When President Trump tried to fight back, the squishes got squishy and whiny. If the GOP wins the House and/or Senate, there needs to be hardcore hearings all over the place, with subpoenas backed by federal law enforcement going and arresting people, and prosecutions.

Read: Politicized FBI Raids Trump’s Mar-O-Lago »

Climate Crisis (scam) Today: Colorful Birds, Rising CO2

This is all your fault, you know

Birds Losing Feather Colors: Another Effect of Climate Change, Study Reveals

A 15-year study on the common bird known as the blue tit found that as a result of climate change, birds were far less vibrant as their feathers lost their usual bright color.

Because our feathered friends rely on their plumage to attract mates, it is dulling flashy colorful feathers and endangering their ability to survive.

The occurrence raises concerns as it may result in fewer new chicks.

According to Dr. David Lopez-Idiaquez of the University of the Basque Country in Spain, characteristics like coloring serve as signals to let other people know how good a specimen is. For instance, when it comes to breeding, they are decisive. Lopez-Idiaquez is the lead author of the study. (snip)

The conclusions are based on observations of the iconic blue tit, which is distinguished by a bright blue crest and a yellow breast.

Two populations of the bird species in southern France were monitored for 15 years; one was in Corsica and the other was near Montpellier.

According to their study’s findings, both groups’ average levels of color decreased from 2005 to 2019.

So, let me get this straight: they studied two small populations of one type of bird in two small areas, and we’re supposed to devine that the colors of bird feathers is bad everywhere, and that birds are in trouble? Really? Now compare this to a previous Holocene warm period: did the same happen? Or, could it be other conditions, like air, water, and land pollution? Pesticides? Something else? In climate cult world, everything is doom and everything is caused by it.

Earth’s CO2 Level Rose Every Year Since Climate Change Became a National Issue

On June 3 of this year, NOAA scientists announced a weather station at Hawaii’s Mauna Loa Atmospheric Baseline Observatory had recorded carbon dioxide levels at 421 parts per million (ppm) in May.

The last time the earth experienced similar levels of this greenhouse gas was during the Pliocene Epoch millions of years ago, a period when global temperatures increased and sea levels may have reached as high as 20 meters (65 feet) above present-day levels.

Both CO2 and sea level subsequently fell precipitously, and over the past 6,000 years, levels remained around 280 parts per million. No longer. The global average grew from 350.9 ppm to 418.39 ppm between 1988 and 2022, an alarming 19% increase. Today the amount of CO2 in the earth’s atmosphere is more than 50% higher than it was prior to the Industrial Revolution.

Which is weird, because there was a pause, roughly between 1998 and 2012, in which the rising temps were considered “statistically insignificant.” And there’s currently a smaller pause. So, perhaps CO2 is not the big deal the climate cultists think.

Read: Climate Crisis (scam) Today: Colorful Birds, Rising CO2 »

If All You See…

…is are horrible carbon pollution clouds, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is 357 Magnum, with a post on the Woke Green Lantern show being cancelled.

Read: If All You See… »

Pirate's Cove