Personally, I think the Supreme Court will either rule in a very limited manner, saying that this ruling only applies to Mississippi, or have a broader ruling that leaves abortion in the hands of the States. Where it should be. The Constitution says nothing about abortion, it was not an assigned power or duty, hence, any regulation and legality is up to states. Since belief in abortion on demand is the most important belief to be a Democrat, they are worried. Would make it a lot harder for them to continue to have blacks kill their babies off in a higher percentage, because we know Democrats are black haters
Big changes to abortion law appear likely after oral arguments at Supreme Court in Mississippi case
The U.S. Supreme Court appears poised to dramatically weaken legal abortion protections — and it could completely overturn the landmark Roe v. Wade ruling next summer — after oral arguments in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization on Wednesday.
The state of Mississippi defended a law passed by its Legislature in 2018 that imposes a ban on abortion at 15 weeks of gestation, and it appeared likely that at least five of the nine justices would uphold It.
This means big changes are almost certain for the future of abortion, but it does not mean that Roe — the 1973 Supreme Court ruling that found a constitutional right to an abortion before fetal viability — is certain to be overturned in its entirety. The court could institute a nationwide ban at 15 weeks.
That’s doubtful, as the Court would then be making legislation. The Mississippi law was designed to be similar to the laws in most European nations, few of which allow abortion after 15-20 weeks. Most of the EU nations also have many regulations on the medical standards for abortion facilities, unlike here in America, where Democrats want them to have the same medical standards as a convenience store.
Yet there were plenty of indications that there might be five votes to overturn Roe entirely. In that case, most abortions would be illegal in roughly half the states while remaining legal in the other half, according to state abortion laws currently on the books.
The main question among legal observers before the court heard arguments was whether the majority-conservative court was more likely to overturn Roe completely or whether it would create a new standard for when abortion could remain legal.
Realistically, if they want full on overturn, it wouldn’t, shouldn’t, make it illegal: just return the power into the hands of the States. Hence, you could find states where it is illegal to get one, and states where it is legal. Perhaps Democrats would simply go back to pushing contraception? It wasn’t all that long ago where this was Important to them. So, what do Democrats do?
If Roe is gutted, Democrats are unlikely to make it law. But they’ll run on it.
If the Supreme Court overturns or guts abortion rights in a major case that was argued Wednesday, the Democratic-led Congress is unlikely to have the votes to counteract it legislatively.
The fallback plan, Democrats say, is to take the issue to voters in the 2022 elections and argue that Republican victories in Congress and states could fuel restrictions on or even outlaw abortions.
Even though many polls say it should be legal, once you start getting into the details things change. Like with the time frame, where the polls start to be evenly split in restricting after 15 weeks. When you start talking about late term abortions and treating abortion facilities like medical centers, the numbers trend away from the abortion believers in the Democratic Party. So, if Democrats want to push abortion for the mid-terms, I don’t think it will help.
The House passed the Women’s Health Protection Act in September to codify abortion rights nationally. But the bill is likely to face a dead end in the Senate, where Democrats have a 50-50 majority and need 60 votes to defeat a probable Republican filibuster. The bill has only 48 Senate co-sponsors, with two Democratic exceptions, Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Bob Casey of Pennsylvania.
Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said Wednesday that the House bill would get a vote in the Senate. “Abortion is a fundamental right. We will not let right-wing ideologies tell women what to do,” he said. “It won’t be an easy fight, but we will not back down.”
If they manage to pass it in the Senate, it will be sued immediately, since there is no actual federal responsibility for this, except, really, in saying that states cannot stop or penalize a woman crossing state lines to get one.
A Supreme Court decision is expected by the end of June, in the heat of the midterm elections. Oral arguments indicated that the six conservative justices on the nine-member court appeared willing to at least uphold the 15-week abortion ban in Mississippi, if not go a step further and overturn Roe v. Wade and its precedents.
So, for all the hoopla, we won’t know anything till June. Just from a Constitutional point of view, the Supreme Court should remove the federal government from the abortion debate, and leave it up to the states. No, that isn’t about morality. Yes, abortion is horrible. But, the foundation of our system is what it is, and has to be obeyed.
Read: Democrats Are Getting Very Worried That Roe v Wade Will Be Overturned »