It’s a rather taboo question, isn’t it? But, it’s not quite what you think
Some Ask a Taboo Question: Is America Overreacting to Coronavirus?
As an America desperate to stem the coronavirus outbreak put in place sweeping restrictions last week on every facet of public life, the University of Wyoming economist Linda Thunstrom asked what felt like a taboo question: “Are we overreacting?’’
It helped that Thunstrom was in her kitchen, drinking coffee with her husband, Jason Shogren, a fellow economist who studies how much Americans are willing to pay to reduce risk of threats like terrorism, food-borne illness and climate change.
Calculating the economic costs of curtailing social interaction compared with the lives saved, he agreed, might yield a useful metric for policymakers. The U.S. government routinely performs such analyses when assessing new regulations, with the “statistical value of life†currently pegged by one government agency at $9 million.
Still, Thunstrom asked, “Do we even want to look at that? Is it too callous?â€
No one wants to be seen as prioritizing profit or, say, youth soccer over saving lives. But in recent days, a group of contrarian political leaders, ethicists and ordinary Americans have bridled at what they saw as a tendency to dismiss the complex trade-offs that the measures collectively known as “social distancing†entail.
Besides the financial ramifications of such policies, their concerns touch on how society’s most marginalized groups may fare and on the effect of government-enforced curfews on democratic ideals. Their questions about the current approach are distinct from those raised by some conservative activists who have suggested the virus is a politically inspired hoax, or no worse than the flu,
Let me tell you, it’s not just “conservative activists” who have suggested those, especially that it’s not worse than the flu. I’ve seen this stuff from Lefty websites and commenters on chat boards, some who say this is being ramped up so Trump can rescue the day for re-elected, or even “postpone” the November elections.
Regardless, are the monetary and social costs of all this worth it? That’s what these folks are considering.
Some college students who were abruptly ushered off campus last week complain that they are more likely to infect higher-risk older adults at home than they were at college. Among the throngs who have been ordered to self-quarantine, some people question the purpose of isolating themselves if the virus is already circulating widely in their communities. Certain parents balk at the pressure from friends to withdraw their children from schools that are still open, or at what they see as groupthink that has prompted the cancellation of events that are still weeks or months away.
And how do you weigh the risk of an unknown number of deaths against the possibility that several hundred thousand students who depend on free lunch at school will go hungry? Or against other lives that may be lost in an economic contraction born of social isolation?
The kids would rather be at spring break using all that student loans money which they want The Government to forgive to party and twerk.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, given the recent plunge in value to their stock portfolios, some Silicon Valley figures have taken to social media to underscore the economic impact of social distancing.
“The fear is far worse than the virus,†tweeted Tim Draper, a venture capitalist, using the hashtags #corona #dustbowl, #food, #clothing and #shelter. “The governments have it wrong. Stay open for business.†(snip)
“We need to give the response to the virus our full attention,†said Jennifer Nuzzo, an associate professor at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. “But we’re following every rabbit that pops out of its hole, as opposed to trying to prioritize responses that have the most impact.’’
The fear may be the worst thing. My favorite Chinese takeout place was closed yesterday afternoon, with no sign up at all. The martial arts place next door was closed, as was the Italian restaurant in same complex. It had a sign, didn’t read it. Bojangles had someone with gloves on showing where to stand while waiting and ordering. I had to stand 6 feet away and yell my order, then came right up to pay. No eating in the store. And the drive thru had way less than normal. The Lowes Foods was business as usual. The place I get my haircut was slow enough that I walked in and didn’t have to wait. Costco looked slammed as I drove by, as did Aldi and Food Lion. So, some stay open, others aren’t, and others are barely hanging on. The Washington Post is running an opinion piece by a small business owner who says the CDC order is a death center for her business.
And then there’s this
An Italian study revealed that most of the patients who have died from the coronavirus previously had some type of illness or pre-existing condition.
But while these people are dying, the majority of coronavirus patients in hospitals are younger, healthier people — and they’re being prioritized by hospital staff.
The average age of those who have died from the Chinese virus in Italy is 79.5, according to a study by Italian health authorities, who have been examining the medical records involving the nation’s surging coronavirus death toll.
The study adds that more than 99 percent of Italy’s coronavirus deaths have been people who were previously ill or had some type of pre-existing medical condition, such as high blood pressure or diabetes.
Among those who have died from the Wuhan virus in Italy, more than 76 percent of them had high blood pressure, more than 35 percent had diabetes, 33 percent had heart disease, and more than 24 percent had atrial fibrillation, or “AFib,†according to Italy’s national health authority.
Wuhan is putting some young people in the hospital, just like the regular versions of the flu do. So, the question is, how much is too much? Do we want to crater the world economy?
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